Mathematical Over/Under Goals Football Predictions for February 17
Welcome to our comprehensive guide on football predictions, crafted through rigorous statistical probability modeling. This article delivers expert insights into anticipated goal outcomes for upcoming matches, based on detailed analysis of probabilities and predictive metrics.
What This Page Provides
Our page aims to deliver precise football predictions through analytical processes, providing you with probabilities, insights, and evaluations. Readers can expect a blend of mathematical rigor and expert insight, ensuring a reliable guide to potential match outcomes.
Predictions Overview
| Rank | Time | Competition / League | Event / Match | Prediction | Probability / Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:06 | Liga MX Women | Mazatlán W vs Tigres UANL W | Over | 94% |
| 2 | 19:00 | Derde Divisie | Rohda Raalte vs SV Urk | Over | 88% |
| 3 | 19:00 | League Cup | Stjarnan FC vs Aegir Thorlakshofn | Over | 83% |
| 4 | 00:00 | Liga MX Women | Toluca W vs Pachuca W | Over | 83% |
| 5 | 23:00 | Liga MX Women | América W vs Monterrey W | Over | 80% |
| 6 | 19:45 | National League S. | Salisbury City vs Chippenham | Over | 79% |
| 7 | 00:00 | Liga de Ascenso | AD Carmelita vs Aserrí | Under | 79% |
| 8 | 19:45 | SPL Premier Division | Hanwell Town vs Farnham Town | Under | 75% |
| 9 | 19:45 | National League S. | Chesham United vs Eastbourne | Under | 73% |
| 10 | 23:30 | Primera División | FBC Melgar vs UCV Moquegua | Under | 73% |
Full Event-by-Event Breakdown
Featured Events (Top 3 by Probability)
Mazatlán W vs Tigres UANL W
The prediction for this Liga MX Women match leans heavily towards 'Over' with a staggering 94% confidence. This is driven by the offensive strength of both teams, historical match data showing a high goal average, and current form indicators. The high probability underscores the low risk associated with this prediction.
Rohda Raalte vs SV Urk
In the Derde Divisie, the match between Rohda Raalte and SV Urk is predicted to go 'Over' with an 88% probability. This prediction is supported by both teams' recent high-scoring performances and league trends suggesting an open game. The high confidence suggests a strong likelihood of goals beyond the set threshold.
Stjarnan FC vs Aegir Thorlakshofn
The League Cup clash between Stjarnan FC and Aegir Thorlakshofn is expected to see 'Over' 2.5 goals, with an 83% confidence rating. Both teams have demonstrated attacking prowess in recent matches, and statistical models highlight a trend of high-scoring encounters, reinforcing the probability of exceeding the goal threshold.
Remaining Events
Toluca W vs Pachuca W
Set in the Liga MX Women, this match predicts an 'Over' outcome. Key factors include both teams' offensive strategies and previous encounters marked by numerous goals. The prediction confidence is strong, suggesting a likely high-scoring match.
América W vs Monterrey W
This Liga MX Women fixture is anticipated to go 'Over' with an 80% confidence. Historical data shows a pattern of high-scoring games, and the teams' current form supports this prediction. The analysis indicates a balanced risk-reward ratio.
Salisbury City vs Chippenham
In this National League S. match, an 'Over' prediction is favored. Analytical factors include team scoring trends and competitive dynamics that historically lead to goal-rich games. The confidence level suggests this is a probable outcome.
AD Carmelita vs Aserrí
The Liga de Ascenso game between AD Carmelita and Aserrí is predicted to go 'Under'. Defensive strategies and past low-scoring encounters contribute to this forecast. The analysis implies a moderately high certainty of a low-goal affair.
Hanwell Town vs Farnham Town
In the SPL Premier Division, an 'Under' prediction is made with 75% confidence. Defensive setups and recent performance data suggest limited scoring opportunities, making for a cautious but informed prediction.
Chesham United vs Eastbourne
This National League S. match is expected to finish 'Under'. Analytical insights point to defensive strengths and a track record of few goals, supporting the probability of a low-scoring game.
FBC Melgar vs UCV Moquegua
For the Primera División match, an 'Under' outcome is expected. Defensive records and historical match data signal a tendency towards fewer goals, with a strong probability backing this prediction.
Model & Accuracy Overview
Our prediction systems use a variety of data, including historical performance, team statistics, and recent trends, to generate probabilities. Accuracy is continuously evaluated through comparison against actual outcomes, allowing for model refinement and improved predictions over time.
FAQ Section
How should the predictions be interpreted? Predictions offer a probability-based forecast of match outcomes, providing insights into likely scenarios.
What do confidence ratings mean? Confidence ratings reflect the strength of the prediction model's probability, with higher percentages indicating greater reliability.
How do prediction models differ from subjective expert picks? Prediction models rely on data-driven analysis, unlike subjective picks which may be influenced by personal biases or opinions.
How can predictions be used effectively? Use predictions as part of a broader analysis, considering other match factors and personal insights to make informed decisions.
Final Recommendations
For the closest match to certainty, Mazatlán W vs Tigres UANL W provides the safest selection with a 94% confidence. Rohda Raalte vs SV Urk and Stjarnan FC vs Aegir Thorlakshofn are also strong choices with high probabilities. In conclusion, our predictions offer a data-backed approach to anticipating match outcomes, providing both novice and seasoned analysts with valuable insights.